Juan González: Mainstream Media Has Missed the Real Story About Latino V...

Latino Votes Fuel Sanders CA Win

Latino Votes Fuel Sanders CA Win

Sanders wins California, largest Super Tuesday prize, fueled by Latino vote. NPR: "Former Vice President Joe Biden may have won the most states on Super Tuesday, but Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders captured the one with the most delegates: California. There are 415 delegates at stake in California, the largest haul of any state. With 79% of the state's precincts reporting, Sanders had 33.5% of the vote to Biden's 24.8%. Sanders was always expected to do well in California, with its large population of Latino voters and energized progressives. On Tuesday, he lived up to those expectations. Sanders carried 49% of the Latino vote, the state's largest minority group, and 49% of voters who call themselves very liberal, according to exit polls. It is expected to be days before the final delegate allocation is known, because counting in California is complicated. Mail-in ballots will count as long as they were postmarked by Tuesday, and same day registration means there a large number of provisional ballots. Of the delegates assigned so far, Sanders has 72 and Biden 21. Some four million votes were cast before Tuesday. Officials have until April 2 to complete their tally."

And, much of the Latino vote in Texas where Biden only won by a few percent, splitting the delegate counts. 

What Is Behind Some Millennials Support For Jill Stein and Gary Johnson ?

Harold Meyerson, 

On the afternoon of the opening session of this summer’s Democratic Convention, I was walking into the convention arena while hundreds of young demonstrators, many carrying signs backing Green Party candidate Jill Stein, shouted and occasionally hurled invectives at those entering the hall—an odd tactic, I thought, since more than 40 percent of the delegates entering the building were Bernie Sanders’s. The friend I was walking in with—a Latino legislator from California—cast a cold eye on the demonstrators and noted, “They’re all white.”

Two months have passed since that convention, and Hillary Clinton is still having trouble winning the allegiance of the young, a disproportionate number of whom are backing either Stein or Libertarian Gary Johnson. But my friend’s take on the demonstrators is still an apt description of the millennials holding out for the third-party candidates: They’re all white.

Stein was getting 4 percent of white millennials, but just 2 percent of their black counterparts.

Well, not all—but damn near. A late-September survey of more than 1,750 millennials, conducted by the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs and Research for the Black Youth Project at the University of Chicago, found that most national polls overstate young people’s support for Johnson and Stein because they under-sampled black, Latino, and Asian American millennials. The AP-NORC poll found just 11 percent of millennials backed Johnson, and just 4 percent Stein. Johnson had the backing of 15 percent of whites aged 18 to 30—but just 8 percent of Latinos, 6 percent of Asian Americans, and 4 percent of African Americans. Stein was getting 4 percent of white millennials, but just 2 percent of their black counterparts.Similarly, a second late-September survey by Latino Decisions found that 77 percent of Latino millennials were backing Clinton—exceeding by a full 10 points the 67 percent of older Latinos who said they’d vote for her.

DIVIDED AMERICA: Trump Energizing Latino Vote?

Who Won the Latino Vote in Nevada ?

Who Won the Nevada Latino Vote?

Latinos Reached a Record Share of Nevada Democratic Caucuses

 

(Los Angeles, Feb 22) After hearing about disputes between the Sanders and Clinton over the Edison Entry Poll Survey results on the Latino vote in the Feb 20 Primary Caucuses WCVI undertook a review of the publicly disclosed data. 

 

WCVI concludes that the survey results are statistically consistent with the margin of victory of Hillary Clinton on Feb 20. The main dispute among pundits and between campaigns has been the assertion that it is statistically impossible for Hillary Clinton to narrowly lose the Latino vote (45% to 53% with Latinos representing 19% of the voters) and narrowly lose Whites (47% to 49% with Whites representing 59% of the voters) and still win the election by 5.3%. 

 

However WCVI concludes the Clinton margin of victory is adequately explained by the large margin of victory Secretary Clinton won among African American voters (77% to 23% with AA's representing 13% of the voters).

Republicans and the Latino Vote

Donald Trump   Ted Cruz 

You would think they would know better.  The NYTimes has peculiar article on its front page today,  2 Latino Candidates at Odds, Heritage and Ideology Aside,  by Lizette Alvarez and Manny Fernandez.  The writers examine differences between Cruz and Rubio in their campaign for President.  And, they examine their differences on immigration.  They report that the two are each hoping to break the Republican Party’s isolation from Latino voters.

But, they do not mention that both candidates, as Cuban Americans, do not come from a community divided by immigration.  Cubans have a unique status.  They are allowed to come to the US with little obstruction.

On the 2010 Census form, people of Spanish, Hispanic and/or Latino origin could identify themselves as Mexican, Mexican American, Chicano, Puerto Rican, Cuban, or "another Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin."

 According to this census, 50.5 million people, or 16% of the population, are of Hispanic or Latino origin.  The 2010 Census listed 33 million Mexican-origin residents (64.9 % of all Latinos); Puerto Ricans within the U.S .numbered 4.7 million (9.2 %); Cuban Americans 1.9 million ( 3.7  %); Salvadorans 1.8 million (3.6 %); Dominicans 1.5 million (3 %); Guatemalans  1.1 million  (2.2 %); Colombians 972,000 (1.9 %); Hondurans 731,000 (1.4%); Ecuadorans 665,000 (1.3 %); and Peruvians 609,000 (1.2%).  Each of these groups has its own identity and historical experiences.

Mexicans, Mexican Americans and other Latinos (except Cuban Americans)  have good reason to be concerned about  current the mobilization of  racist movements by these  harsh and xenophobic  campaigns of Trump, the Republicans including both Cruz and Rubio.

Latino Vote Surges in Texas

William C. Velásquez Institute
Press Advisory 

Dec. 3, 2015
Texas Latino Vote Will Set Record 2 million Votes Cast in 2016
Good Reason for Optimism as Latino Voting in Texas Upturned in 2014

(Dec 3, 2015 San Antonio, TX) "Latinos in Texas performed well in 2014 according to the 2014 Census CPS study after subpar performances in 1998, 2006, 2010. Indeed Latinos did what they hadn't done in more than a generation by increasing their electoral efficiency that is increasing their rate of voter turnout and number of votes cast even though their voter registration declined in 2014," said Antonio Gonzalez, President of the William C. Velasquez Institute.

"2014 was a bad year for Latino voting nationally, but not in Texas, as Latinos cast nearly 1.1 million votes their highest mid-term total ever and voted at over 48% -equal to their previous modern-era highs of 2002 and 1994 when Latino favorites Tony Sanchez and Gov. Ann Richards were running," Gonzalez continued.

In "open" Presidential Elections with competitive primaries Latinos in Texas have a well-known history of comparatively high participation. 2016 will be such a year.

"Given historic Presidential Election trends Texas Latinos may cast at least 2 million votes in Nov. 2016 for the first time ever and should breach the 3 million registered voter threshold also for the first time," analyzed Gonzalez. "The hot Super-Tuesday March 1, 2016 primary will bring out Latinos of all stripes from both parties, and this will catapult voter registration throughout the year in our community and high voting in Nov 2016," he said.

Trump - Republicans Hostile Toward Latinos

by Adrian Pantoja, Senior Analyst, Latino Decisions

In 2012, the Republican Party lost the Latino vote badly, in a year of record Latino turnout. According to the Latino Decisions-impreMedia November 2012 election eve poll President Barack Obama won 75 percent of Latinos to just 23 percent for GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney. Seems like those were the "good ol' days" for the GOP compared to where things stand in 2015.

Following the 2012 election the Republican National Committee released a comprehensive report examining what went wrong in the Romney campaign. Among the top concerns: outreach to Latino voters. The report stated, "If Hispanic Americans perceive that a GOP nominee or candidate does not want them in the country (i.e., self-deportation), they will not pay attention to our next sentence. It does not matter what we say about education, jobs or the economy; if Hispanics think we do not want them here, they will close their ears to our policies."

New polling released by impreMedia and Latino Decisions finds that the GOP's image among Latino voters has significantly deteriorated since 2012.

The poll of 424 Latino registered voters living in critical battleground states reports that statements by GOP frontrunners Donald Trump and Ben Carson are negatively impacting the overall GOP brand. When asked about comments by Trump, 80 percent of Latino voters said it gives them a less favorable impression of the Republican Party. When asked about Carson's comments about immigration and using drone's to bomb smuggling tunnels on the US-Mexico border, 70 percent said it gives them a less favorable impression of the Republican Party.

Perhaps the most noteworthy finding of the new poll is a question on perceptions of Republican outreach that Latino Decisions has been asking for years.

The-Latino-Vote-in-2014---The-Good--the-Bad--and-the-Ugly-.html?soid=1114208817960&aid=m9IywrJxt2w

http://myemail.constantcontact.com/The-Latino-Vote-in-2014---The-Good--the-Bad--and-the-Ugly-.html?soid=1114208817960&aid=m9IywrJxt2w

Summary

The Latino Vote in 2014 deepened a contradictory trend first noticed in the 2006 mid-term elections in which Latino voter registration declined compared to the 2004 presidential election. A new normal of mid-term cycle voter registration contractions or "busts" bookended by presidential cycle "booms" was verified by the 6% Latino voter registration contraction in 2014 compared to 2012. The Latino vote contraction in 2014 will limit, as it did in 2010-2012, prospects for Latino voter registration and turnout growth in 2016.

Latino voter registration growth in 2014 appears robust when compared to 2010 but 100% of that growth owes to the Latino voter surge of 2012.

Latino votes cast in 2014 at 53% also took a significant dive compared to the 1998-2010 turnout average of 60%. But most of this national turnout decline was due to dismal Latino voter performance in California's non-competitive elections.

Several states bucked the downward Latino voter turnout trend most notably Colorado, Pennsylvania and New Jersey where significant resource investments in the Latino vote coupled with hot elections for Governor and Senator significantly drove up Latino participation.

Read the entire report at the link provided. 

Dolores Huerta: The Latino Community Must Stand United

“The United States is a country of immigrants.” That is a phrase that is heard many times during each election cycle. And although the Latino and immigrant communities across the United States have always played a key role in all facets of government, business and society, we still continue to face a significant amount of challenges.

Yet, we continue to witness more anti-immigrant rhetoric across the mainstream media, while state legislatures — like North Carolina — enact laws that negatively affect Latinos. Meanwhile, too many politicians at all levels have used their soapboxes to spew ugly language that scapegoats and vilifies our communities.

We can change this.

As we inch ever closer to 2016, Latinos need to become aware of the true power that they wield. Every day we work hard to ensure that our communities remain vibrant, that our families continue to strengthen this great country, and that our loved ones are afforded a chance to pursue the American Dream. By our hard work, our dollars, and our ingenuity, we continue to ensure that this country grows and prospers.

Latino Voter Turnout is Vital

Sacramento Bee columnist Marcos Breton is correct in saying on Feb 25, that  low Latino voter turnout is a major issue.  And, he is on target in saying the issues include poverty, lack of job opportunities, and in asking why young Latinos are “ so disconnected?”

http://www.sacbee.com/news/local/news-columns-blogs/marcos-breton/article11125448.html

 Student political apathy and disconnectedness is significantly caused by Latino absence from the K-12 textbooks and curriculum.

Children and young adults need to see themselves in the curriculum.  Students, have low levels of attachment to California and U.S.  civics engagement in significant part because the government institution they encounter the most- the schools-  ignore the students’ own history, cultures and experiences.

California state textbooks largely ignore the roles of Mexican Americans and Latinos in building this state.

Students need to learn civic engagement – it is not automatic.  Students need to learn that they belong , that they are a part of the community and its history.

Then they will participate and vote.

Latino Vote

http://www.gocomics.com/laloalcaraz/2012/10/02

Untapped Electoral Power: Staggering Numbers of Unregistered Latinos and Immigrants Eligible to Naturalize in California | California Progress Report

Untapped Electoral Power: Staggering Numbers of Unregistered Latinos and Immigrants Eligible to Naturalize in California | California Progress Reportino

In California Latino Votes made the difference

Unlike 1994, the Latino vote made the critical difference in keeping California in the Democratic Party column on election day in 2010.   Democrats actually increased their majority in the State Assembly. While the rest of the nation was swept by a Republican wave, California became more Democratic.

According to exit polls, Latinos made up 22 percent of the California  electorate Tuesday,  compared with 18 percent in 2008 and 12 percent in 2006. Brown won 64 percent of the Latino vote, while Republican gubernatorial candidate Meg Whitman won 30 percent. The Latino vote was higher and more partisan toward Democrats than had been predicted by the Field Poll just days prior to the election. 

The poll also showed 42 percent of voters identifying themselves as Democrats, 31 percent as Republicans and 27 percent as nonpartisans or minor-party members.

Carly No es mi Amiga.

Carly Fiorina, California Republican U.S. Senate candidate, shares a wide range of skewed views straight out of the Sarah Palin manifesto. But there is one key Palinesque policy she embraces that she’d just a soon the state’s Latino voters didn’t dwell on.

Fiorina, who casts herself as friend of Latinos, is a strong and strident supporter of Arizona’s anti-immigrant law that civil rights groups denounce as discriminatory and an open to door to racial profiling. As a U.S. senator, Fiorina very well could back a national anti-immigrant law patterned after Arizona’s.

Today the California Labor Federation, Brave New Films and SEIU California unveiled a new bilingual video, “Carly No Es Mi Amiga” (Carly is Not My Friend) that exposes her anti-immigrant agenda and close ties to Palin’s radical and inflammatory immigration rhetoric. Says Art Pulaski, California Labor Federation executive secretary-treasurer:

She’s pushing more of the same failed policies that destroyed our economy and forced millions of Latinos and other workers into the unemployment line. The last thing California Latinos need is Carly’s anti-immigrant, job-slashing agenda.

Service Employees International  Vice President, Eliseo Medina, speaks to  a crowd of over 100 on the Capitol Steps in Sacramento  on August 17, 2010, as they complete phase I of the campaign,  For our Families: Todas A Votar.

The campaign organized by several unions including SEIU, the California Teachers Association, and others  traveled to by bus to some 9 cities in the state,  from San Diego to Sacramento to initiate a the voter registration  campaign in each of these areas.    

   In Sacramento Assembly Speaker Perez and some 8 members of the Latino caucus joined labor and religious groups to welcome the caravan to the state capitol. 

 In cooperation with unions and community groups, the campaign will be  providing offices and registration efforts  in each of the 9 cities in targeting thousands of new Latino voters.

"For Latinos, the election of 2010 is more than just  choose one candidate or another, it's about taking a role  active, more than ever, in decisions that affect  our families and create a better future for our

children and grandchildren, "said Eliseo Medina, vice president

of SEIU. "We have the potential to influence the elections and  Now this is where our voices must be heard.”

Latino Voter Mobilization

Latinos for Obama

Latinos have been stepping up across the nation to help bring the change we need.

They know Barack Obama wants to make sure Washington is working for every community, and making the long-overdue changes in education, health care, immigration, and economic opportunity that will help our Latino communities.

With only days until Election Day, your support is more important than ever.

We've put together a video about Latinos getting involved to help Barack.

Watch the video, then sign up to help in the final push:



Everything will come down to these last few days. No matter what anyone says, this election will be decided on the ground by dedicated people helping to get out the vote.

We're almost there -- and we need you to take us over the finish line.

Watch the video and take action to make sure we bring the change we need:

http://my.barackobama.com/LVgetinvolved

With your help, we can make history and change our country.

Thank you for all that you're doing,

Temo

Cuauhtémoc "Temo" Figueroa
Latino Vote Director
Obama for America

Latinos for Obama

You tube video by Wendy Carillo.

Jose La Luz: Latinos for Obama

Latino Voters Key to Obama Win in Battleground States
Jose La Luz Organizing for Change and Obama

The Nov.4th. presidential election is frighteningly close and labor and Latino votes are critical to a win, particularly in some Southwestern swing states. It appears that the election will be decided in fewer than 12 battleground states.
Jose La Luz is a leader in Latinos for Obama and is working in New Mexico and Colorado to organize the critical Latino vote in these battleground states. He is also the director of the Leadership Academy with the American Federation of State County and Municipal Employees.
Latino voters represent 35 percent of the electorate in New Mexico, 11 percent in Colorado, 12 percent in Nevada and 14 percent in Florida. Obama is winning the majority of Latino voters in California. In New Mexico, Obama leads McCain 56 percent to 23 percent among Latino voters. Among non-Latino voters McCain leads 50 percent to 34 percent. Who says that race is not an important issue in this election?
In Colorado, Obama has a 56 percent lead over McCain’s 26 percent among Latinos. And among non-Latino voters Obama has a narrow 45 percent lead over McCain’s 41 percent.
In Nevada, Obama leads McCain at 62 percent to 20 percent among Latinos. Yet McCain leads among non-Latino voters at 46 percent to 37 percent. The ground campaign in Nevada has registered more than 50,000 new Democrats, well enough to carry the state.
Election victories in these states will depend importantly upon Latino voter registration and voter mobilization. In California, where we are confident of an Obama win, we are calling into Nevada. Our task is to call the 150,000 undecided voters . We need to find the 50,000 who might vote for Obama. Then, Spanish speaking volunteers in Nevada go the homes of these individuals to try and convince them to vote for Obama. The telephone lists are kept and identified for get out the vote telephoning near election day.