Republicans Use Courts to Block Immigration Reform - 4.7 million now subject to deportation.
WASHINGTON
— The prime-time assertion of executive power was audacious and far-reaching.
Nearly a year ago, President Obama vowed that his
administration would provide up to four million undocumented immigrants the
ability to live and work in the United States without fear of immediate
deportation.
It
almost certainly will not happen for the vast majority of them.
The
conservative legal campaign against the centerpiece of Mr. Obama’s immigration
overhaul has largely succeeded in running out the clock, blocking the
president’s executive actions from taking effect while judges consider their
legality. Now, even if Mr. Obama ultimately prevails in the legal battle —
which would occur next summer at the earliest — there will probably be time for
at most a few hundred thousand of those immigrants to qualify for protection
before the end of the president’s term.
Worse
for the administration, in the next few weeks, the states fighting to stop Mr.
Obama may score their biggest victory yet — achieving a long-enough delay in
the lower courts to prevent the Supreme Court from even considering and ruling
on the case until after next year’s presidential election. That timing would
leave any final decision about immigration to Mr. Obama’s successor.
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The
immediate holdup is the United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit,
in New Orleans, where a three-judge panel has been deliberating the president’s
actions for more than three months — far longer than the court’s goal to decide
“within 60 days after argument” in most cases. White House officials are
bracing for a loss in the appeals court, in part because two of the three judges
have already ruled against the administration in an earlier decision.
But Mr.
Obama needs a ruling soon from that panel so his lawyers can try to persuade
the Supreme Court to take the case. If the decision does not come quickly, his
hopes for a late-hour appeal to the Supreme Court this year will disappear.
Already,
disappointed immigration activists are preparing a fallback strategy to try to
turn the fate of Mr. Obama’s promise into a political issue on the 2016
campaign trail. Their goal is to motivate immigrants who are citizens to vote
by focusing on what the activists say is the once-in-a-lifetime chance that has
slipped away for millions who are undocumented.
Starting
Wednesday, about a dozen protesters will fast for nine days in the park across
from the Fifth Circuit courthouse.
“The
lack of action is taking on the tenor of political behavior that is
unconscionable for a federal court,” said Kica Matos, the director of immigrant
rights and racial justice for the Center for Community Change, an organizer of
the protest. “We want to let the court know that we are watching. It is not
acceptable to us that they are going to run out the clock to achieve political
goals.”
The
extended legal delays have upended the president’s hope for a final
legacy-making success on immigration. After years of a fruitless battle with
House Republicans to pass a comprehensive overhaul of the nation’s immigration
laws, Mr. Obama last year concluded that he should, and could, act on his own.
He announced his plans in a speech to the nation on Nov. 20.
But the
president’s advisers urged him to move quickly to establish the program, known
as Deferred Action for Parents of Americans. If millions signed up by the time
Mr. Obama left office, they said, the next president would find it difficult to
reverse, even if a Republican wins the White House.
Aides
mapped out a plan to build a new bureaucracy to process millions of
applications from undocumented immigrants. Officials quickly signed a $7.8
million lease for a Washington-area building and began interviews to hire 1,000
new employees. Those efforts were scuttled when a Texas judge ordered a halt to
the program.
Officials
say they are prepared to begin that process again quickly once they receive a
final go-ahead from the courts. In 2012, it took about 60 days to set up a
similar but smaller program for undocumented immigrants who were brought to the
United States as children. White House aides say they could restart the latest
program in that time.
But the
crawl of the legal system is working against them.
Almost
immediately after Mr. Obama announced his executive actions, Texas and 25 other
states filed a lawsuit seeking to stop him. In February, Judge Andrew S. Hanen
of Federal District Court in Brownsville, Tex., ordered a preliminary
injunction on the programs while he considered the constitutional and other
issues in the suit. The government appealed, but the Fifth Circuit panel
hearing that appeal has yet to decide.
The
circuit court must decide soon to give the administration the time for a final
appeal to the Supreme Court.
“What is
the point of no return?” said Josh Blackman, a law professor at the South Texas
College of Law who filed an appeals court brief opposing the president’s
executive actions. “As long as we get a decision by the end of October or
beginning of November, the case could be heard by the Supreme Court this term.”
John P.
Elwood, a lawyer at Vinson & Elkins who follows Supreme Court procedures
closely, said the Obama administration might have a few more weeks than that —
until late November — to be heard in the current term once the Fifth Circuit
rules.
But
lawyers for the State of Texas, whose lawsuit is seeking to stop Mr. Obama,
will then have the right to seek an extension beyond the usual 30 days to file
briefs, another delay that could get in the way of prompt Supreme Court
consideration.
“The
petition seems like it would have to be filed by Nov. 27 or 30, if Texas is
being cooperative,” for the case to be hear in the current term, Mr. Elwood
said.
If the
Supreme Court considers the case this term, activists are counting on the
justices to overturn the lower courts and let Mr. Obama’s immigration program
move forward.
But the
earliest a positive Supreme Court decision is likely to come is in June 2016,
leaving only a few months before the presidential elections. Add the amount of
time it would take for officials to renew the lease, hire the new employees and
print the documents, and that time shrinks even further.
By then,
the presidential campaign will be at a fever pitch. Officials would be asking
immigrants in the United States illegally to come forward and apply at the same
time that the Republican candidate for president would probably be campaigning
on a promise to end Mr. Obama’s program.
“That
fear will definitely be there, and there will be people who will wait,” said
Marielena Hincapié, the executive director of the National Immigration Law
Center. But she added that “a positive Supreme Court decision will be an
infusion of hope and energy for people to come out and vote.”
White
House officials and advocates are pressing forward on parts of the president’s
executive actions that were not blocked by the courts, including new
enforcement priorities for immigration authorities that have reduced the number
of deportations.
Officials
are also trying to publicize a recent procedural change that could help
hundreds of thousands of undocumented immigrants who are married to American
citizens or legal residents to apply for green cards.
“We have
been mobilizing all over the country, we have done hundreds of meetings and
workshops, and our big message to the entire community was get ready, whenever
it happens,” Ms. Matos said. “When we get closer to the election, the
Republicans may start to realize that they need our votes.”
Ed. Note.
Recall that a number of immigrant rights’ activists last
year focused on pressuring President Obama.
They claimed that the Democrats and the Republicans were equally to blame for the failure of
immigration reform.
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